BuckleRiskTM

Track Buckling Risk Management

ZETA-TECH’s BuckleRisk model implements a risk-based methodology for identification of potential track buckling sites using site-specific risk factors. Based on the magnitude of the generated risk values, the potential for a track buckle occurring at each site is determined. By dividing the railway into discrete buckling risk segments, high risk sites on the railway can be identified for inspection and corrective action.

The BuckleRisk model utilizes a risk factor based approach, which is applied on a segment-by-segment basis to specific track locations. These segments are defined based on “homogenous” track and traffic characteristics and as such can be as short as a tenth of a mile or an individual curve. For each such segment, a “base” risk factor is established based on the site’s temperature range and the rail’s force free or neutral temperature.

Additional risk factors are then developed for the segment based on track, traffic, and related data, which is readily available in railroad databases. These risk factors are then added to (or subtracted from) the base risk factor to calculate a total risk value for each track segment or site being analyzed. The resulting calculated risk factor is compared against pre-defined risk thresholds for follow up action. The overall result is an easy to implement methodology for identifying potential buckling risk sites on the railway.

The BuckleRisk model utilizes track, traffic, and environmental data from several sources within various railroad and external databases. The general data requirements include location information, temperature data (such as US NOAA data), installation or target installation temperatures, track data such as rail size and type, tie type and spacing, fastener type, ballast type, curvature and grades, speeds and speed changes, tonnage, bridge locations and type, turnout and signal locations, gang and track work records, Track Geometry Data, previous thermal incident records, rail adjustment reports, etc.

Application on US Class 1 railroad has shown BuckleRisk able to successfully identify sites with high potential for track buckling, as verified by inspection by local railway forces or by actual buckling incidents. BuckleRisk has been shown to generate a manageable number of high risk segments and as such does not place an excessive maintenance burden on local forces. Field applications have determined that reasonable correlation exists between the calculated high buckling risk values and actual experience or field observation.

 

ZETA-TECH Associates, Inc.
900 Kings Highway North
Cherry Hill, NJ
08034 Tel: (856) 779-7795
Fax: (856) 779-7436

 

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